

I had the correct read today. It was screaming at me at 6:00 AM EDT this morning.
You could see it in my prep commentary as I noted that I will look for inside support but not anticipate an extension of the highs.
There was not a complete pullback to inside support but the market looked strong this morning. I am pleased that I faded it with no confirmation.
I made a bet on my visualization. The price was extended and I took the higher probability route.
I covered the first entry because it had not gone anywhere and news was coming out in a few minutes.
The second entry was good then I completely over managed. I was soo reluctant to be short with no confirmation because the price was not coming off the highs.
This was a lack of trust and belief combined with way to much watching of the tape.
Then you can see the internal battle play out with 3 more tight trades as the price grinded down.
I ended up being up .5 point. It was a scratch on the sequence. I think it is good that I kept entering even though my price was worsening.
In the midst of the lack of trust of my read, I entered and covered well. Of course, it would have been best just to enter and trust.
My stubbornness burned me yesterday causing a big 4 hour scratch and my lack of stubbornness burned me today causing a complex scratch sequence.
I need to get my emotions in sync with my gut.
Brian i've been following your blog for sometime now and curious on why you continue to trade in such a discretionary way?
ReplyDeleteAs of late i notice your tendency to criticize your emotions and emotional judgment ... could it be rather that your trading style lacks sufficient edge in these markets?
It appears you're setting unrealstic expectations on yourself ... trying to interpret every single tick to confirm your bias/trade. Trying to prescribe logic to market action is a fools game.
Why not stick to high probability methodological setups ... ones in which you quantify success and payout?
Imho discretionary trading at this point in your career, and in these markets, is a crap shoot.
Been there done that,
hennessy